information for our energy future
information for our energy future
The following energy reports, research and discussion papers can be downloaded from the publisher's website, usually in pdf format. If you require alternative formats please contact the publisher directly.
July 2008
The WA Independent Market Operator
The key outcomes of the 2008 Statement Of Opportunities include: Economic growth within WA is forecast to remain strong over the period to 2017/18, with an annual average rate of growth of 4.9% in Gross State Product. Electricity consumption and maximum demand are both forecast to grow through to 2017/18 at 3.9% per annum on average. Several new large industrial loads are expected to be commissioned by 2010/11, which will result in substantial increases in both electricity consumption and maximum demand. Without these new major loads, electricity consumption is forecast to grow at 2.2% and maximum demand at 3.3%. The Reserve Capacity Target for 2010/11 is set at 5,146 MW. To meet this target, 226 MW of new generation and demand side management capacity will be required beyond that which is already in place or under construction.
Download from: Statement of Opportunities (pdf 734 kb)
June 2008
BP
BP has released the 57th edition of the Statistical Review of World Energy. Although growth in energy consumption slowed in 2007 compared with 2006, it was still above the 10-year average for the fifth consecutive year, with primary energy consumption up by 2.4%. Coal was again the fastest growing fossil fuel, now for the fifth year in a row, with global consumption up 4.5%. The oil price has been on an upward path for more than six years, however oil production actually fell in 2007 despite an increase in consumption of 1.1%. The report shows 2007 was another year of rapid growth for alternative sources of energy, including biofuels, solar and wind power.
Download from: BP Statistical Review of World Energy (pdf 6.5 MB)
June 2008
Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts
Energy use in the Australian Residential Sector: 1986-2020 is the second national baseline study on residential energy use in Australia. This landmark study looked at how energy consumption has changed since 1990 and how these changes are likely to evolve to 2020. The trend in per person residential energy consumption shows a steady increase from 17 gigajoules (GJ) per person in 1990 to 20 GJ per person in 2020, or approximately a 20% increase over the study period. This increase in energy consumption per person is partly being driven by a decline in the number of persons per household. Growth in electrical appliance energy consumption was the largest among major end-uses and was estimated to increase from 70.5 PJ in 1990 to 169.4 PJ in 2020, which represents an increase of 4.7% per annum. By 2020 energy use by electrical appliances is forecast to almost match space heating as the largest single energy end use in the average Australian household.
Download from: Energy use in the Australian residential sector (multiple pdf)
April 2008
Shell
Shell has released a new energy scenario called TANIA - There are no ideal answers - looking at how the world's energy supply and use might evolve to 2050. They outline two paths, Blueprint and Scramble in which the world either reacts to problems or cooperates to develop solutions. Both scenarios display a turbulent period between 2015 and 2030 when energy supply struggles to keep up with demand.
Download from: Shell energy scenarios to 2050 (pdf 1.5 MB)
February 2008
Abare
This updated report contains a wealth of information in one place on energy production and use in Australia. It covers both fossil and renewable sources, transport, electricity and now also includes a breakdown of energy R&D.
Download from: Energy in Australia 2008 (pdf 1.4 MB)
December 2007
Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics
In this report, ABARE presents its latest medium to long term projections of Australian energy consumption, production and trade assuming no change in established policy settings. The analysis covers the period from 2005-06 to 2029-30, with a focus on the medium term to 2011-12. Australia’s primary energy consumption in the medium term is projected to grow at an average rate of 2.2 per cent a year, from 5688 PJ in 2005-06 to 6479 PJ in 2011-12. By 2029-30, the shares of coal and oil are projected to be 35 per cent each of total primary energy consumption. The shares of gas and renewables are projected to rise to 24 per cent and 6 per cent respectively of total primary energy consumption by 2029-30.
Download from: Australian Energy (pdf 323 kb)
September 2007
Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics
ABARE compared a business as usual scenario (the reference case) with a scenario in which there is significant uptake of currently available and plausible future enhanced energy efficient and low emission technologies. This enhanced technology scenario represents a much greater uptake of technologies than under current policy settings. Despite this, fossil fuels remain the dominant source of primary energy consumption throughout the projection period to 2050. In Australia, emissions are projected to peak before 2020 and decline to 23 per cent below 2004 levels by 2050 — a 50 per cent reduction in emissions relative to the reference case at 2050. Energy efficiency is estimated to directly account for about 58 per cent of projected global emissions abatement in 2050 and about 55 per cent of projected Australian emissions abatement at 2050.
Download from: Technology - toward a low emissions future (pdf 740 kb)
August 2007
International Energy Agency
Released annually, this 80 page publication contains timely, clearly-presented data on the supply, transformation and consumption of all major energy sources, and other useful energy facts.
Download from: Key world energy statistics 2007 (pdf 2.6 MB)